Washblog

Richardson on Steady Rise

Originally posted Here

In a post by John Nichols in today's The Nation Blog, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson seems to be making steady gains in both Iowa and New Hampshire as we move closer to the first caucus and primary of the 2008 presidential campaign.


The post, NH PRIMARY: KEEP AN EYE ON RICHARDSON..., begins:

"New York Senator Hillary Clinton's once-daunting lead among likely voters in the New Hampshire Democratic primary is slipping. But neither of her principle rivals, Illinois Senator Barack Obama nor former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, is gaining much.

The action is with New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson."

The post notes that, since September, Gov. Richardson has moved from 6% to 12% in New Hampshire and is at 11% in Iowa.

"That's a dramatic jump when the two CNN/WMUR polls are compared. But it appears to be the continuation of a pattern of improvement for Richardson that becomes clearer when the Boston Globe survey from earlier this month is factored in. That survey showed the New Mexico governor moving from 6 percent in September to 10 percent.

So we've got two polls tracking an uptick for Richardson from 6 percent to 10 percent to 12 percent.

If the pattern holds, the New Mexican will easily overtake Edwards and could begin closing in on Obama by the time New Hampshire holds its first in the nation primary."


What I find most satisfying in these numbers is the factor that seems to be making the most difference to the voters - Experience.


"It is worth noting that, according to the polls, Richardson is now viewed as more experienced than either Obama or Edwards by the New Hampshire voters. His numbers are dramatically up in other categories, as well, especially on measures of trust -- the New Mexican now leads Clinton in this category."


Now, obviously, we are still some time out and these numbers certainly are not in the 30 and 40% range we have been seeing from the "media nominees" but the fact that they reflect a continuing upward trend is quite satisfying and a testimony to the fact that there is no nominee until the voters have spoken. As Nichols concludes:

"The bottom line: Richardson is moving up. He could stall. But if he keeps going in the direction he's headed in, the governor could yet be a serious contender in the critical first tests of the Democratic race."


Peace,
Chad (The Left) Shue

< Notes from the 48th District Town Hall Meeting | ROVE WORKING FOR NEWSWEEK? TIME (NO HIDDEN MESSAGE HERE) TO CANCEL >

Poll

What is the most important factor in a nominee
Electability
Knowledge - Experience
Platform
Gender

Votes: 7
Results | Other Polls
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Chad, if I may play the Devil's advocate . . .

Couldn't one argue that Richardson lacks the charisma of Obama or Edwards, and that all his experience makes him an excellent candidate for Vice President?

In other words, maybe the Democratic Presidential nominee should be an inspiring leader, and he could compensate for any lack of experience by choosing Richardson as a Vice-Presidential candidate.

I'm not saying I actually believe this. I'm just wondering how you would respond to the argument.

by DWE on Thu Nov 22, 2007 at 11:23:55 AM PST

* 1 none 0 *



  • Reasonableness
  • Grudging Cross-Party Respect
  • Peer Recognition
  • Deep Pockets
  • Skull And Bones
  • A Meth Habit
  • A Lesbian Daughter

by m3047 on Fri Nov 23, 2007 at 12:34:13 AM PST

* 3 none 0 *


During a recent national debate, Richardson who, except maybe for Joe Biden, is the most 'qualified' democratic candidate, all but announced he wanted to be vice president when he told the others on the stage to quit picking on Hillary.

by leduc on Sat Nov 24, 2007 at 08:21:44 AM PST

* 4 none 0 *


  1. Throwing NM to Bush in 2004 by refusing to investigate the election irregularities which featured significant disenfranchisement on reservationa and among poor Hispanics and poor people in general.  Unless you really believe that only 7% of the people in some of their precincts decided to cast a vote for president.

  2. Being a huge supporter of NAFTA, which has been a disaster for average Mexicans as well as working Americans.

That's not to say that he doesn't have a really impressive resume otherwise, though.

by eridani on Mon Nov 26, 2007 at 06:07:06 PM PST

* 11 none 0 *



I'm sure folks have heard the news, but the real question is where you folks are going to go.

by dlaw on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 05:47:42 PM PST

* 19 none 0 *


  • If true by gibney, 01/09/2008 10:25:53 PM PST (none / 0)
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