Washblog

Iraq and the Spin Cycle

Is there a single biggest issue today? Is Iraq just about deposing a dictator and grabbing oil, or is there more to it?

There has been a great deal of discussion lately about the relative importance of various issues (the war, ANWR, immigration, women's rights, etc.). In evaluating candidates, we try to look at the balance of all these issues. But I believe that the single most important issue right now is Iraq.

And now I'm going to immediately modify that statement to say, it isn't just Iraq. "Iraq" is becoming an almost generic term to refer to a series of conflicts that right now includes Iraq and Afghanistan, and will likely soon include Iran. It isn't an isolated thing. It is one part of a larger strategy by the NeoCons. Here's how it progresses:

  • Control the mainstream media, then marginalize or buy out the alternative media. Try to de-fund public access media.

  • Engage us in a series of conflicts where there is no actual plan for anything other than maintaining the conflicts. We still have 19,000 troops in Afghanistan. (Remember Afghanistan? It's the country just to the east of Iran. Iraq is just to the west of Iran. How convenient.)

    You can read their plan in detail on the Website of the Project For The New American Century. The report is called " Rebuilding America's Defenses."

  • Wave the flag and keep repeating that we are at war, and that means sacrifices. Use that excuse to shred the Constitution, reduce civil liberties and suppress dissent.

  • Pour hundreds of billions of dollars into "war" efforts that enrich companies like KBR (Halliburton subsidiary) and other defense contractors.

  • Keep the Middle East unstable, which will increase crude oil prices, enriching the oil companies. Saudi Arabia has the world's largest proven reserves of petroleum. The Saudi government is already in the pocket of the Bush family. Iran has the 2rd largest proven reserves. Iraq has the 3rd largest proven reserves.

    By the way, when you hear the NeoCons ranting about Venezuela being a sponsor of terrorism and how we must remove Hugo Chavez from power, keep in mind that Venezuela has the 6th largest proven reserves in the world. The U.S. is number 10 on the list.

  • Simultaneously shift the tax burden completely off the very wealthy by excluding capital gains and inheritance from any taxation (over 74% of all capital gains are reported by people with income over $250,000). Eliminate corporate taxation. Put the tax burden completely onto the lower and middle classes.

  • Increase the cost of medical care to individuals, particularly us Baby Boomers. We are a huge demographic bulge and possess a great deal of political power unless our resources are diverted or otherwise compromised.

    Medicare Plan D is a good example of a targeted program to deplete the resources of the elderly. Under this plan, Medicare is not allowed to negotiate discounted prices from the drug manufacturers. The insurance companies do not cover all drugs in all plans, so you have to guess which drugs you will need in the future, in addition to which drugs you currently take.

    Another approach is for companies to no longer offer health-care benefits to their employees. Right now 45 million Americans have no health care coverage. This shifts the entire cost of health care to those individuals who typically get paid the least.

  • Limit the ability of individuals to get out of debt through bankruptcy (50% of all personal bankruptcies have medical expenses as a primary contributing factor).

  • Allow corporations to escape responsibility for cleaning up environmental and health messes by making it easier for them to hide assets and declare bankruptcy of the (now-worthless) subsidiary. This is what Manville Corp. did to hide from asbestos claims.

  • Allow corporations to escape their pension obligations by shifting the burden to the Federal government. The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation is a Federal corporation that acts as an insurance company for 44 million employees. It currently is funded by the premiums charged to participating companies, but like any insurance company, it operates on the assumption that premiums will exceed claims. If that doesn't happen, either the Federal government will have to step in to cover the cost (which means tax revenues will cover it) or else pension plans will simply fail.

  • Reduce the ability of the lower and middle classes to have any political clout by reducing their economic strength through increased taxes, education costs, medical costs, anti-unionization, etc. Use the WTO to push the wages of working-class people towards third-world levels and prevent unionization in developing nations.

    Did you know that under WTO rules, a country that passes environmental laws, labor laws or any other laws that might reduce corporate profits, can be required to pay that amount to the affected companies? As an international treaty, it constitutes the supreme law of the land under Article VI. of the U.S. Constitution.

    Remember how NAFTA (mini-WTO) was going to produce all those high-paying jobs in Mexico so the Mexicans wouldn't need to sneak into the U.S. to improve their economic condition? I wonder what ever happened to that? Seems like we have more immigration now (both legal and illegal) than ever.

  • Drive the deficits to the point where the country is in economic crisis and use that as an excuse to eliminate every Federal program that provides real benefit to the public. Eliminate all funding for public education, enforcement of environmental regulations, enforcement of OSHA, FDA, health regulations, etc. Privatize Social Security, Medicare and education.

  • Shift the burden of supporting any of these programs to the states, where the political and economic power of the very rich can be focused to prevent any effective, coordinated response.

  • Pack all the courts (not just the Supreme Court) with right-wing judges who will rule against the people and for the corporations and the wealthy.

End result: the elimination of all the Great Society programs that the right wing have despised, and the establishment of a permanent "over-class" of extremely wealthy people who pay no taxes and exercise complete control over the government, the economy and the people.

Welcome to the Spin Cycle.

Only this isn't "spin" as in political misinformation, it is "spin" like the spin cycle in your washing machine, and it is designed to squeeze the last drop of economic strength and civil freedom out of the general public.

You might think I'm being alarmist, but I am merely looking at the patterns of what is going on and comparing them to the statements that the extreme right wing have made over the years. You might not want to admit that this is the pattern, because of what that implies. But that does not make the pattern incorrect.

So it is the whole scheme that must be stopped. But I think the linchpin is the series of conflicts, because they do so much to (a) shift the economy and (b) provide cover for the suppression of democracy. Next to that, ANWR is nothing.

< Crowded house in the 43rd LD | Bush must be declared unfit to serve >
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I've heard the argument that global warming is the transcendent issue of our time, but even if that were true, we'll never get to that issue, as a nation, as long as we're bogged down in Iraq. In fact, we'll get to few of the issues you list in your diary.

In Das Spiegel, Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz estimated that the long-term costs of the Iraq war, so far, are $1-2 trillion. A quote to chew on:

SPIEGEL: Professor Stiglitz, at the beginning of the Iraq war, the United States administration was hoping to almost break even in terms of the costs ...

Stiglitz: ... they truly believed the Iraqi people could use their oil revenues to pay for reconstruction.

SPIEGEL: And now you are estimating the cost of war at levels between $1 trillion and $2 trillion. How do you explain this difference?

Stiglitz: First, the war was much more difficult than President Bush and his government expected. They thought they were going to walk in, everybody would say thank you, and they would set up a democratic government and leave. Now that this war is lasting so much longer, they constantly have to adapt their budget. It rose from $50 billion to $250 billion. Today, the Congressional Budget Office talks about $500 billion or more for this adventure.

SPIEGEL: That's still by far lower than your own calculations.

Stiglitz: The reported numbers do not even include the full budgetary costs to the government. And the budgetary costs are but a fraction of the costs to the economy as a whole. And compare this to Gulf War number one, where America almost made a profit!

by DWE on Tue Apr 18, 2006 at 07:41:21 AM PST

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And all of this is even more important to understand given our current teetering on the brink of hostilities against Iran.

How do we raise the general level of consciousness?

Forums like this are a good addition to the mix of conversation that can help that happen.

by noemie maxwell on Tue Apr 18, 2006 at 09:09:44 AM PST

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Gordon, thank you for your post with the laundry list of all that I personally believe flows out of the issue of war in Iraq. I see Iraq as The issue that trickles down to incorporate most of the issues you identified.  I see it as the over-arching issue which umbrellas most every issue that have become political challenges in our country.  

I've been frustrated in trying to follow the political approaches in that it seems to me rather than unifying behind one issue as cause and effect of most all of the other issues stemming from it, the last two years have been busy work stamping out brush fires as they come up.  To my way of thinking when 911 = Iraq = wartime footing, it should have served as a 'heads up' to Americans that wartime footing creates far too much wiggle room for the Administration - any administration, no matter what political party is in power (read empowered to push the boundaries envelope).

My thoughts aren't coming together well enough to say what I'm trying to say, but I'd like to see this discussion continue.  Relating local issues to Washington state issues to federal and national issues absolutely equates in my mind to Iraq.  I somehow believe if we as Americans can find no way to address ending Iraq war (and preventing future wars in Middle East stemming from invading Iraq),  collectively we will be hard-pressed to effectively take on the trickle down issues.  

As constituents, citizens and civilians working with our elected politicians to help them become more effective - and if we have to point a path for them towards acting in courage instead of in preservation of their positions, I believe we risk doing the same political dance steps over and over again and getting about the same results.

Simplistic as it may seem, I have long thought unity and focus on war in Iraq IS the path towards mending many of the other issues that I believe trickle down because of Iraq.   The advantage and simultaneous disadvantage I have in trying to discuss the subject is that we are a military family with 2 returning Iraq veterans in our family.  It seems often easy for my thoughts to be dismissed as strictly personal concern on one issue - Iraq, due to the direct connection to my loved ones.  That is, of course, obvious on it's own merit.  Yet, I have not felt my concerns are exclusive of greater concerns for the path our country seems to be marching towards which I have come to believe has been made possible by wartime politics.

 

"The bar for success (in Iraqi)is so low that it is almost buried in the sand." Barack Obama, Sept 12, 2007

by Lietta Ruger on Wed Apr 19, 2006 at 09:01:06 AM PST

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except I do not think high oil prices has been a goal. I think there is far more pressure to hold oil prices, and what we pay at the pump, as artificially low as possible in order to delay our transition away from oil for as long as possible. We sit right at the break point now, between the artificial pump cost for fuel and making alternatives viable in our capitalist society.
Also, Enron was a huge factor in our taking the reigns in Afghanistan. They had a contract to deliver natural gas to Iran at a price driven by huge delivery costs and had an agreement to build this pipeline across Afghanistan that would have produced huge profits. Prior to 9/11 our country was threatening the rulers in Afghanistan to allow this project.
Also looking back at Golf war one, it was our change in tone and response to Iraq that signaled them that we would allow them to go against Kuwait without grave consequences. That was all it took.
All of this is very hard to follow and to be confident of as a lay person which gives the neocons huge power to engineer the fights while the Whitehorse spins the rational and creates a political environment where not being supportive is viewed like treason by most of the nation.

If we are lucky, we will change the party in power in the US house and senate in November and somehow avoid getting into another war in August. And if we are not lucky I fear Iran will be attacked just prior to the election or soon thereafter. You may ask, what's luck got to do with it? Well, right now that's about all that we have on our side.

by Particle Man on Wed Apr 19, 2006 at 04:49:59 PM PST

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Gordon,

I have to say you pretty much hit it right on.  The neoconservatives and fundamentalist Christian Wahabis that populate the current Administration have effectively neutralized ANWR and all other environmental concerns with their diversions of endless war and imminent terror (did anyone notice that this morning, now the Seattle Times has as the headline "Washington State Ferry System is Next Terror Target"...or something very similar).

Your post was very well-written, to the point, and I must say accurate.

So what are our options?  What can we do?  Wringing our hands won't do any good (of course, the Rumsfeldians trolling the internet would assume that such is our only natural response).

How do we "un-divert"?  How do we compete with reality television, i-pods, cell phones, and the wonderfully positive Kia car commercials (that make me sick)?  How do we explain to people that the high gas prices are not the key problem here, but simply another diversionary sympton?  How do we educate people that our economy just may be heading for a total collapse?

Richard

by Richard Champlin on Fri Apr 21, 2006 at 02:19:05 PM PST

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