What I've Been Talking About All This Time
Forget the hyperbole. For the most part, American politics is a sedate affair. Too strong a message is most often bad because you are not trying to extend and expand a change but trying to protect a margin or chip away at a particular interest group. Yet occasionally there is potential for real change. When that potential comes around, parties have to adopt a stronger message because they are in the process of changing the minds of a large segment of the population.
In the East I saw that the Philadelphia and New York suburbs were in the beginnings of a full revolt against the Republicans. Note the Washington Post's blog here. I also noticed the same dynamic in the Seattle suburbs, although it was disguised in 2004 by some spectacularly bad Democratic campaigning and the received wisdom about the suburbs that was badly behind the times.
Therefore, I reasoned that the thing to capitalize on was suburban rejection of movement conservatism. The most identifiable and vulnerable project of movement conservatism was the war in Iraq. If Democrats created a united message they - like the Republicans in '94 - could expect a large percentage of a large swath of America to reject the incumbent party.
[On a personal note, this would especially fun for me because, being left of Democrats, I like big moves to the Left. And I also knew it would be good for the country in the long run.]
So I became extremely anxious that the Democrats get and stay on message. They were going to win, it was just a question of how to persuade them to win more by increasing the intensity of the message. And I had reason to be anxious: Democratic leaders were counselling the opposite tactic - a move to the right. Fortunately, the Republicans created such a bad situation for themselves that they forced everyone - including Democrat leaders - to reject Republican policy vocally, and the result is what we saw last night. But there were some holdouts. Maria Cantwell was one. When the dust settles, the dollars are counted and the numbers tallied, there will be no question that Maria Cantwell - indeed the whole Democratic party of Washington state - could and should have united and campaigned harder and with one voice for newcomer Darcy Burner. Yes, we all could have given more time. And on a national level, the Democratic Party's leadership could and should have showed more unity. But there really isn't any question that, here in Washington state, the efforts of a Senator with millions of dollars and a very weak opponent could have made a quantum difference. She could have gotten many thousands more votes for Darcy Burner rather than the many hundreds more votes an incremental increase in volunteerism or bit more rhetorical support from D.C. might have garnered. It was a misallocation of resources, pure and simple. Maria Cantwell's campaign , as run, simply represented too much money spent on too Reichert-like a message. I'm not saying that the whole Burner effort or any part of it couldn't have been improved. It could have been. But to give the Party the best chance in the 8th, the woman at the top of the Democrat ticket in the state of Washington - our junior Senator - would have had to have been on board and on message. But Senator Cantwell wasn't on board and on message - not when it came to that centerpiece issue of Iraq. And there is no way around it - that hurt us in the 8th. Cantwell time, press and dollars could have been converted into Burner votes had the campaigns been closer together. Burner had no choice. Hers was a race that had to be nationalized. Her candidacy had to be about a wedge between Seattle-suburb voters and the Republican party. Cantwell chose to distance herself from that message - the message we saw from the DCCC, the national message. That was a poor political choice. Fortunately the national shift was bigger than we knew and at this writing Darcy Burner may be headed to Congress. But it need not have been such a close thing, had Cantwell leaned in and crowded the plate on Iraq. She owed it to her party. She should have been a leader and sacrificed a little for the good of the team. She had 15 points to work with. Maybe next time. Peace, Dlaw
What I've Been Talking About All This Time | 34 comments (34 topical)
What I've Been Talking About All This Time | 34 comments (34 topical)
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